Estimating the impact of anti-dumping and anti-cartel actions using intervention analysis

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Authors: Lloyd, T., Morrissey, O. and Reed, G.

Journal: Economic Journal

Volume: 108

Issue: 447

Pages: 458-476

ISSN: 0013-0133

DOI: 10.1111/1468-0297.00298

Intervention analysis is proposed as a method for estimating the effects of anti-dumping actions in the presence of a domestic cartel. Data requirements and modelling effort compare favourably with traditional structural model approaches. The method is applied to an anti-dumping action brought to the European Commission and in which the European producers of the product were fined after an anti-cartel action by the Commission covering an overlapping period. Intervention analysis is applied to distinguish the effects of the anti-dumping action from those of changes in cartel behaviour.

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