Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise
Authors: Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A.T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J. and Tol, R.S.J.
Journal: Nature Communications
Volume: 9
Issue: 1
eISSN: 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9
Abstract:UNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study, we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50% and erosion risk by 13% across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/31275/
Source: Scopus
Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise.
Authors: Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A.T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J. and Tol, R.S.J.
Journal: Nat Commun
Volume: 9
Issue: 1
Pages: 4161
eISSN: 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9
Abstract:UNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study, we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50% and erosion risk by 13% across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/31275/
Source: PubMed
Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise
Authors: Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A.T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J. and Tol, R.S.J.
Journal: NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
Volume: 9
eISSN: 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/31275/
Source: Web of Science (Lite)
Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise
Authors: Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A.T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J. and Tol, R.S.J.
Journal: Nature Communications
Publisher: Springer Nature
ISSN: 2041-1723
Abstract:UNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from 15 both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50 % and erosion risk by 13 % across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/31275/
Source: Manual
Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise.
Authors: Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A.T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J. and Tol, R.S.J.
Journal: Nature communications
Volume: 9
Issue: 1
Pages: 4161
eISSN: 2041-1723
ISSN: 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06645-9
Abstract:UNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study, we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50% and erosion risk by 13% across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/31275/
Source: Europe PubMed Central
Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise
Authors: Reimann, L., Vafeidis, A.T., Brown, S., Hinkel, J. and Tol, R.S.J.
Journal: Nature Communications
Volume: 9
ISSN: 2041-1723
Abstract:UNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from 15 both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50 % and erosion risk by 13 % across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/31275/
Source: BURO EPrints