Predicting global invasion risks: A management tool to prevent future introductions
Authors: Fletcher, D.H., Gillingham, P.K., Britton, J.R., Blanchet, S. and Gozlan, R.E.
Journal: Scientific Reports
Volume: 6
eISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/srep26316
Abstract:Predicting regions at risk from introductions of non-native species and the subsequent invasions is a fundamental aspect of horizon scanning activities that enable the development of more effective preventative actions and planning of management measures. The Asian cyprinid fish topmouth gudgeon Pseudorasbora parva has proved highly invasive across Europe since its introduction in the 1960s. In addition to direct negative impacts on native fish populations, P. parva has potential for further damage through transmission of an emergent infectious disease, known to cause mortality in other species. To quantify its invasion risk, in regions where it has yet to be introduced, we trained 900 ecological niche models and constructed an Ensemble Model predicting suitability, then integrated a proxy for introduction likelihood. This revealed high potential for P. parva to invade regions well beyond its current invasive range. These included areas in all modelled continents, with several hotspots of climatic suitability and risk of introduction. We believe that these methods are easily adapted for a variety of other invasive species and that such risk maps could be used by policy-makers and managers in hotspots to formulate increased surveillance and early-warning systems that aim to prevent introductions and subsequent invasions.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/23723/
Source: Scopus
Predicting global invasion risks: a management tool to prevent future introductions.
Authors: Fletcher, D.H., Gillingham, P.K., Britton, J.R., Blanchet, S. and Gozlan, R.E.
Journal: Sci Rep
Volume: 6
Pages: 26316
eISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/srep26316
Abstract:Predicting regions at risk from introductions of non-native species and the subsequent invasions is a fundamental aspect of horizon scanning activities that enable the development of more effective preventative actions and planning of management measures. The Asian cyprinid fish topmouth gudgeon Pseudorasbora parva has proved highly invasive across Europe since its introduction in the 1960s. In addition to direct negative impacts on native fish populations, P. parva has potential for further damage through transmission of an emergent infectious disease, known to cause mortality in other species. To quantify its invasion risk, in regions where it has yet to be introduced, we trained 900 ecological niche models and constructed an Ensemble Model predicting suitability, then integrated a proxy for introduction likelihood. This revealed high potential for P. parva to invade regions well beyond its current invasive range. These included areas in all modelled continents, with several hotspots of climatic suitability and risk of introduction. We believe that these methods are easily adapted for a variety of other invasive species and that such risk maps could be used by policy-makers and managers in hotspots to formulate increased surveillance and early-warning systems that aim to prevent introductions and subsequent invasions.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/23723/
Source: PubMed
Predicting global invasion risks: a management tool to prevent future introductions
Authors: Fletcher, D.H., Gillingham, P.K., Britton, J.R., Blanchet, S. and Gozlan, R.E.
Journal: SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
Volume: 6
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/srep26316
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/23723/
Source: Web of Science (Lite)
Predicting global invasion risks: a management tool to prevent future introductions
Authors: Fletcher, D.H., Gillingham, P.K., Britton, J., Blanchet, S. and Gozlan, R.E.
Journal: Scientific Reports
Volume: 6
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group: Open Access Journals - Option C
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/srep26316
Abstract:Predicting regions at risk from introductions of non-native species and the subsequent invasions is a fundamental aspect of horizon scanning activities that enable the development of more effective preventative actions and planning of management measures. The Asian cyprinid fish topmouth gudgeon Pseudorasbora parva has proved highly invasive across Europe since its introduction in the 1960s. In addition to direct negative impacts on native fish populations, P. parva has potential for further damage through transmission of an emergent infectious disease, known to cause mortality in other species. To quantify its invasion risk, in regions where it has yet to be introduced, we trained 900 ecological niche models and constructed an Ensemble Model predicting suitability, then integrated a proxy for introduction likelihood. This revealed high potential for P. parva to invade regions well beyond its current invasive range. These included areas in all modelled continents, with several hotspots of climatic suitability and risk of introduction. We believe that these methods are easily adapted for a variety of other invasive species and that such risk maps could be used by policy-makers and managers in hotspots to formulate increased surveillance and early-warning systems that aim to prevent introductions and subsequent invasions.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/23723/
Source: Manual
Predicting global invasion risks: a management tool to prevent future introductions.
Authors: Fletcher, D.H., Gillingham, P.K., Britton, J.R., Blanchet, S. and Gozlan, R.E.
Journal: Scientific reports
Volume: 6
Pages: 26316
eISSN: 2045-2322
ISSN: 2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/srep26316
Abstract:Predicting regions at risk from introductions of non-native species and the subsequent invasions is a fundamental aspect of horizon scanning activities that enable the development of more effective preventative actions and planning of management measures. The Asian cyprinid fish topmouth gudgeon Pseudorasbora parva has proved highly invasive across Europe since its introduction in the 1960s. In addition to direct negative impacts on native fish populations, P. parva has potential for further damage through transmission of an emergent infectious disease, known to cause mortality in other species. To quantify its invasion risk, in regions where it has yet to be introduced, we trained 900 ecological niche models and constructed an Ensemble Model predicting suitability, then integrated a proxy for introduction likelihood. This revealed high potential for P. parva to invade regions well beyond its current invasive range. These included areas in all modelled continents, with several hotspots of climatic suitability and risk of introduction. We believe that these methods are easily adapted for a variety of other invasive species and that such risk maps could be used by policy-makers and managers in hotspots to formulate increased surveillance and early-warning systems that aim to prevent introductions and subsequent invasions.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/23723/
Source: Europe PubMed Central
Predicting global invasion risks: a management tool to prevent future introductions
Authors: Fletcher, D.H., Gillingham, P.K., Britton, R.J., Blanchet, S. and Gozlan, R.E.
Journal: Scientific Reports
Volume: 6
Pages: 26316
ISSN: 2045-2322
Abstract:Predicting regions at risk from introductions of non-native species and the subsequent invasions is a fundamental aspect of horizon scanning activities that enable the development of more effective preventative actions and planning of management measures. The Asian cyprinid fish topmouth gudgeon Pseudorasbora parva has proved highly invasive across Europe since its introduction in the 1960s. In addition to direct negative impacts on native fish populations, P. parva has potential for further damage through transmission of an emergent infectious disease, known to cause mortality in other species. To quantify its invasion risk, in regions where it has yet to be introduced, we trained 900 ecological niche models and constructed an Ensemble Model predicting suitability, then integrated a proxy for introduction likelihood. This revealed high potential for P. parva to invade regions well beyond its current invasive range. These included areas in all modelled continents, with several hotspots of climatic suitability and risk of introduction. We believe that these methods are easily adapted for a variety of other invasive species and that such risk maps could be used by policy-makers and managers in hotspots to formulate increased surveillance and early-warning systems that aim to prevent introductions and subsequent invasions.
https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/23723/
Source: BURO EPrints