The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China

Authors: Wu, X. and Blake, A.

Journal: SAGE Open

Volume: 13

Issue: 1

eISSN: 2158-2440

DOI: 10.1177/21582440231152444

Abstract:

This paper applies a three-step framework to quantify COVID-19’s impacts on China’s domestic and international air travel demand and to evaluate how the impacts evolve from January 2020 to January 2022. Time series techniques and combination forecasting are tested to identify the best-performing model to generate baseline forecasts, with which actual demands are compared to assess the impact of COVID-19. The results demonstrate that during the period under study, China’s domestic aviation sector experienced two V-shape recoveries, while its international counterpart was devastated and showed no sign of revival. It suggests that to mitigate the impact of COVID-19, containing virus spread and removing mobility controls are essential; and when travel restrictions are lifted or loosened, governments play important roles in accelerating the rate of demand recovery.

https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/38318/

Source: Scopus

The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China.

Authors: Wu, X. and Blake, A.

Journal: Sage Open

Volume: 13

Issue: 1

Pages: 21582440231152444

ISSN: 2158-2440

DOI: 10.1177/21582440231152444

Abstract:

This paper applies a three-step framework to quantify COVID-19's impacts on China's domestic and international air travel demand and to evaluate how the impacts evolve from January 2020 to January 2022. Time series techniques and combination forecasting are tested to identify the best-performing model to generate baseline forecasts, with which actual demands are compared to assess the impact of COVID-19. The results demonstrate that during the period under study, China's domestic aviation sector experienced two V-shape recoveries, while its international counterpart was devastated and showed no sign of revival. It suggests that to mitigate the impact of COVID-19, containing virus spread and removing mobility controls are essential; and when travel restrictions are lifted or loosened, governments play important roles in accelerating the rate of demand recovery.

https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/38318/

Source: PubMed

The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China

Authors: Wu, X. and Blake, A.

Journal: SAGE OPEN

Volume: 13

Issue: 1

ISSN: 2158-2440

DOI: 10.1177/21582440231152444

https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/38318/

Source: Web of Science (Lite)

The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China.

Authors: Wu, X. and Blake, A.

Journal: SAGE open

Volume: 13

Issue: 1

Pages: 21582440231152444

eISSN: 2158-2440

ISSN: 2158-2440

DOI: 10.1177/21582440231152444

Abstract:

This paper applies a three-step framework to quantify COVID-19's impacts on China's domestic and international air travel demand and to evaluate how the impacts evolve from January 2020 to January 2022. Time series techniques and combination forecasting are tested to identify the best-performing model to generate baseline forecasts, with which actual demands are compared to assess the impact of COVID-19. The results demonstrate that during the period under study, China's domestic aviation sector experienced two V-shape recoveries, while its international counterpart was devastated and showed no sign of revival. It suggests that to mitigate the impact of COVID-19, containing virus spread and removing mobility controls are essential; and when travel restrictions are lifted or loosened, governments play important roles in accelerating the rate of demand recovery.

https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/38318/

Source: Europe PubMed Central

The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China

Authors: Wu, X. and Blake, A.

Journal: SAGE Open

Volume: 13

Issue: 1

Pages: 1-14

ISSN: 2158-2440

Abstract:

This paper applies a three-step framework to quantify COVID-19’s impacts on China’s domestic and international air travel demand and to evaluate how the impacts evolve from January 2020 to January 2022. Time series techniques and combination forecasting are tested to identify the best-performing model to generate baseline forecasts, with which actual demands are compared to assess the impact of COVID-19. The results demonstrate that during the period under study, China’s domestic aviation sector experienced two V-shape recoveries, while its international counterpart was devastated and showed no sign of revival. It suggests that to mitigate the impact of COVID-19, containing virus spread and removing mobility controls are essential; and when travel restrictions are lifted or loosened, governments play important roles in accelerating the rate of demand recovery.

https://eprints.bournemouth.ac.uk/38318/

Source: BURO EPrints