Professor Adam Blake

01202 961521
ablake at bournemouth dot ac dot uk
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9300-5913

Professor Of Economics and Econometrics
Dorset House D206, Talbot Campus, Fern Barrow, Poole, BH12 5BB

Keywords:
Economics
Tourism

Biography

Adam Blake is a Professor of Economics in the Department of Tourism and Hospitality, Bournemouth University, and Head of the International Centre for Tourism and Hospitality Research. He is a specialist in computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling and has used this modelling technique to examine the economic interrelationships between tourism and other sectors of the economies of the UK, USA, Scotland, the Canary Islands, Malta, Cyprus, Mauritius and Brazil. His research has provided both theoretical advances and research based evidence for government organisations.

With articles in journals such as Annals of Tourism Research, Tourism Management and Tourism Economics, Adam is a well known researcher in the field of tourism economics. He is also a resource editor for Annals of Tourism Research, a member of the editorial board of Tourism Economics and a former President of the International Association for Tourism Economics. His research articles have addressed issues such as the economic effects of tourism crises (Foot and Mouth disease in the UK in 2001; September 11th in the US) and analysis of public policy measures in response to such crises; the economic impact of tourism taxation; and the economic impact of tourism in developing countries... More recently, this has included modelling and analysis of the economic effects that tourism has on poor households in developing countries, and the suitability of tourism promotion as a means of alleviating poverty.

Research

Adam Blake is a Professor of Economics in the Department of Tourism and Hospitality, Bournemouth University. He is a specialist in modelling the economic impact of tourism and of tourism policies, with special interests in the economic impact of tourism on poverty. He has completed research of this nature for government agencies in the UK, Scotland, Spain, Malta, Cyprus, Mauritius and Brazil. His research has provided both theoretical advances and research based evidence for government organisations. Adam is an editorial board member of Annals of Tourism Research and Tourism Economics, is a former President of the International Association for Tourism Economics.

Favourites

Cortés-Jiménez, I. and Blake, A., 2011. Tourism demand modeling by purpose of visit and nationality. Journal of Travel Research, 50 (4), 408-416.
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Blake, A., 2009. The Dynamics of Tourism’s Economic Impact. Tourism Economics, 15, 615-628.
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Blake, A., Arbache, J.S., Sinclair, M.T. and Teles, V., 2008. Tourism and Poverty Relief. Annals of Tourism Research, 35, 107-126.
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Journal Articles

Liu, A., Vici, L., Ramos, V., Giannoni, S. and Blake, A., 2021. Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team. Annals of Tourism Research, 88.
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Blake, A. and Gomes, T., 2020. Tourism As A Driver for Promoting Gender Equality and Participation of Women in the Labour Market: A Case Study of The Domestic Tourism Industry in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Issues, 2 (2).
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Mhanna, R., Blake, A. and Jones, I., 2019. Spreading tourists around host countries of mega sport events: A strategy to overcome overtourism in host cities. Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes, 11 (5), 611-626.
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Liu, A., Song, H. and Blake, A., 2018. Modelling productivity shocks and economic growth using the Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach. International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management, 30 (11), 3229-3249.
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Mhanna, R., Blake, A. and Jones, I., 2017. Challenges facing immediate tourism leveraging: evidence from the London 2012 Olympic Games. Managing Sport and Leisure, 22 (2), 147-165.
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Pyke, S., Hartwell, H., Blake, A. and Hemingway, A., 2016. Exploring well-being as a tourism product resource. Tourism Management, 55, 94-105.
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Li, S.N., Blake, A. and Thomas, R., 2013. Modelling the economic impact of sports events: The case of the Beijing Olympics. Economic Modelling, 30 (1), 235-244.
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Blake, A., Pratt, S. and Swann, P., 2013. Dynamic general equilibrium model with uncertainty: Uncertainty regarding the future path of the economy. Economic Modelling, 32, 429-439.
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Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2013. Quantifying Foreign Direct Investment Productivity Spillovers in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Model. Asian Economic Journal, 27 (4), 369-389.
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Blake, A., Sahli, M. and Seetaram, N., 2012. Special issue: Developments in the field of tourism economics Introduction. TOURISM ECONOMICS, 18 (6), 1155-1159.
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Deng, Z., Falvey, R. and Blake, A., 2012. Trading market access for technology? Tax incentives, foreign direct investment and productivity spillovers in China. Journal of Policy Modeling, 34 (5), 675-690.
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Li, S., Blake, A. and Cooper, C., 2011. Modelling the economic impact of international tourism on the Chinese economy: A CGE analysis of the Beijing 2008 Olympics. Tourism Economics, 17 (2), 279-303.
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Cortés-Jiménez, I. and Blake, A., 2011. Tourism demand modeling by purpose of visit and nationality. Journal of Travel Research, 50 (4), 408-416.
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Blake, A. and Cortes-Jimenez, I., 2010. Special Focus The economics of tourism - new directions Introduction. TOURISM ECONOMICS, 16 (1), 5-9.
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Li, S., Blake, A. and Cooper, C., 2010. China's Tourism in a Global Financial Crisis: a Computable General Equilibrium Approach. Current Issues in Tourism, 13, 435-453.
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Li, S. and Blake, A., 2010. Chinese Tourism Policy and the Economic Impact of International Tourism on the Chinese Economy: a computable general equilibrium scenario analysis of the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games. Tourism Economics.
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Blake, A. and Cortés-Jiménez, I., 2010. Special focus the economics of tourism - New directions. Tourism Economics, 16 (1), 5-9.
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Pratt, S. and Blake, A., 2009. The Economic Impact of Hawaii’s Cruise Industry. Tourism Analysis, 12, 337-351.
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Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2009. How does the Productivity of Foreign Direct Investment spill over to Local Firms in Chinese Manufacturing? Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 7, 183-197.
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Blake, A., 2009. The Dynamics of Tourism’s Economic Impact. Tourism Economics, 15, 615-628.
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Pratt, S., McCabe, S., Cortes-Jimenez, I. and Blake, A., 2009. Measuring the Effectiveness of Destination Marketing Campaigns: comparative analysis of conversion studies. Journal of Travel Research.
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Li, S. and Blake, A., 2009. Estimating Olympic Related Investment and Expenditure. International Journal of Tourism Research, 11, 337-356.
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Blake, A., 2008. Tourism and income distribution in East Africa. International Journal of Tourism Research, 10 (6), 511-524.
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Blake, A., Arbache, J.S., Sinclair, M.T. and Teles, V., 2008. Tourism and Poverty Relief. Annals of Tourism Research, 35, 107-126.
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Blake, A., 2008. Economic modelling of tourism: Introduction. Tourism Economics, 14 (4), 669-671.
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Yeoman, I., Lennon, J., Blake, A., Galt, M., Greenwood, C. and McMahon-Beattie, U., 2007. Oil depletion: What does this mean for Scottish tourism? Tourism Management, 28, 1354-1365.
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Gibbons, J.M., Ramsden, S.J. and Blake, A., 2006. Modelling uncertainty in greenhouse gas emissions from UK agriculture at the farm level. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 112 (4), 347-355.
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Blake, A., Durbarry, R., Eugenio-Martin, J.L., Gooroochurn, N., Hay, B., Lennon, J., Sinclair, M.T., Sugiyarto, G. and Yeoman, I., 2006. Integrating Forecasting and CGE models: The Case of Tourism in Scotland. Tourism Management, 27, 292-305.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Campos Soria, J.A., 2006. Tourism Productivity Evidence from the United Kingdom. Annals of Tourism Research, 33, 1099-1120.
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Morgan, C.W., Blake, A. and Poyago-Theotoky, J.A., 2004. The Management of Technological Innovation: Lessons from Case Studies in the UK Food and Drink Industry. International Journal of Biotechnology, 5, 334-353.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. Quantifying the Impact of Foot and Mouth Disease on Tourism and the UK Economy. Tourism Economics, 9, 449-465.
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Kweka, J., Morrissey, O. and Blake, A., 2003. The Economic Potential of Tourism in Tanzania. Journal of International Development, 15, 335-351.
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Sugiyarto, G., Blake, A. and Sinclair, M.T., 2003. Tourism and Globalization Economic Impact in Indonesia. Annals of Tourism Research, 30, 683-701.
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Blake, A. and Sinclair, M.T., 2003. Tourism Crisis Management: US Response to September 11. Annals of Tourism Research, 30, 813-832.
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Blake, A., McKay, A. and Morrissey, O., 2002. The Impact on Uganda of Agricultural Trade Liberalisation. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 53, 365-381.
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Blake, A., Rayner, A.J. and Reed, G.V., 1999. The Impact of the Uruguay Round Reforms on the EU Agriculture and Food-Processing Sectors. Journal of Agricultural Economics.
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Blake, A.T., Rayner, A.J. and Reed, G.V., 1999. A computable general equilibrium analysis of agricultural liberalisation: The Uruguay Round and Common Agricultural Policy reform. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 50 (3), 400-424.
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Chapters

Blake, A., Jones, I. and Mhanna, R., 2018. Sponsor Right Protection at Mega-Events: Examples from the London 2012 Olympic Games. In: Seraphin, H. and Korstanje, M., eds. International Event Management: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Practice. Nova.
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Mhanna, R., Blake, A. and Jones, I., 2018. Sponsor Right Protection at Mega Events - Examples from the London 2012 Olympic Games. In: Seraphin, H. and Korstanje, M., eds. International Event Management Bridging the Gap Between Theory and Practice. Nova Science, 65-80.
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Deng, Z., Blake, A. and Falvey, R., 2016. A computable general equilibrium model of foreign direct investment productivity spillovers in China. The Future of Asian Trade and Growth: Economic Development with the Emergence of China. 91-112.
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Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2010. How does the productivity of foreign direct investment spill over to local firms in Chinese manufacturing? In: Liu, X. and Zhang, W., eds. China’s Three Decades of Economic Reforms. Abingdon, England: Routledge, 230-243.
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Deng, Z., Blake, A. and Falvey, R., 2009. A computable general equilibrium model of foreign direct investment productivity spillovers in China. The Future of Asian Trade and Growth: Economic Development with the Emergence of China. 91-112.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Gillham, J., 2006. CGE Tourism Analysis and Policy Modelling. In: Dwyer, L. and Forsyth, P., eds. International Handbook on the Economics of Tourism. Edward Elgar Publishing.
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Conferences

Blake, A., 2017. Tourism and Poverty Alleviation: Tools and Policies. In: International Association for Tourism Economics 20-23 June 2017 Rimini, Italy.
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Blake, A., 2017. Tourism and Poverty Alleviation: Tools and Policies. In: The Visitor Economy: strategies and innovations 4-6 September 2017 Bournemouth University.
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Blake, A., Sahli, M. and Seetaram, N., 2012. Special issue: Developments in the field of tourism economics. Tourism Economics, 18 (6), 1155-1159.
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Curtin, S.C. and Blake, A., 2010. Setting the scene: wildlife tourist typologies, behaviour and economic impact. In: Wildlife tourism in Britain: future directions, developments and management implications 12 May 2010 Bournemouth University, England.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. Tourism and EU Accession in Malta and Cyprus. In: Tourism Modelling and Competitiveness: implications for policy and strategic planning Paphos, Cyprus. Tourism and Travel Research Institute.
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Reports

Chapman, A., Richards, S. and Blake, A., 2020. Pier Review: Sustainability Toolkit for British Seaside Piers. Bournemouth University. Available from: https://piers.org.uk/news/national-piers-society-releases-major-new-study-on-british-seaside-piers/.
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Fletcher, J., Morakabati, Y. and Blake, A., 2009. An economic impact study and analysis of the economies of Gibraltar and the Campo de Gibraltar. Gibraltar: Gibraltar Chamber of Commerce.
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Blake, A. and Curtin, S.C., 2009. The Economic Impact of Wildlife Tourism in Scotland. Scottish Government.
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Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2009. Quantifying Foreign Direct Investment Productivity Spillovers: A Computable General Equilibrium Framework for China. Nottingham: GEP. Available from: http://www.gep.org.uk/leverhulme/publications/Papers/2009/2009_18.php.
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Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2009. How Does the Productivity of Foreign Direct Investment Spill Over to Local Firms in Chinese Manufacturing?. Nottingham: University of Nottingham. Available from: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1446703.
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Blake, A. and Cortes-Jimenez, I., 2007. The Drivers of Tourism Demand: A report by Christel DeHaan Tourism and Travel Research Institute, University of Nottingham For Department of Culture, Media and Sport December 2007. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.culture.gov.uk/images/publications/Drivers_of_Tourism_Demand.pdf.
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Blake, A. and Gillham, J., 2007. MPIF Peer Review of the HMRC Computable General Equilibrium Model. HM Revenue and Customs and HM Treasury.
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Blake, A. and Gillham, J., 2006. Revenue Neutral Tax Reform: A General Equilibrium Assessment. HM Revenue and Customs and HM Treasury.
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Gooroochurn, N. and Blake, A., 2005. Tourism Immiserization: Fact or Fiction?. Milan: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. Available from: http://www.feem.it/NR/rdonlyres/A081824C-F5BD-4D82-9456-738CD4EF46DA/1799/14305.pdf.
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Blake, A., 2005. The Economic Impact of the London 2012 Olympics. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2005_5.pdf.
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Blake, A. and Gillham, J., 2005. Consumption vs Income Taxation: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. HM Revenue and Customs and HM Treasury.
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Blake, A. and Gillham, J., 2005. The Economic Impact of Savings Compulsion: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. UK: HM Revenue and Customs and HM Treasury.
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Blake, A., 2005. The Economic Impact of the Olympics. Department for Culture, Media and Sport.
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Blake, A. and Gillham, J., 2005. The HMRC Computable General Equilibrium Model. HM Revenue and Customs. Available from: http://www.hmrc.gov.uk/research/gillham-and-blake.pdf.
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Scrieciu, S.S. and Blake, A., 2005. General Equilibrium Modelling Applied to Romania (GEMAR): focusing on the agricultural and food sectors. Manchester: University of Manchester. Available from: http://www.sed.man.ac.uk/research/iarc/pdfs/iarc_wp11.pdf.
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Blake, A., 2005. The economic impact of the London 2012 Olympics. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/discussion/2005_5.pdf.
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Blake, A., 2004. The Structure of the Moffat Scenario CGE Model. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2004_6.pdf.
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Blake, A., Durbarry, R., Eugenio-Martin, J.L., Gooroochurn, N., Hay, B., Lennon, J., Sugiyarto, G., Sinclair, M.T. and Yeoman, I., 2004. Tourism In Scotland: The Moffat Model for Tourism Forecasting and Policy in Complex Situations. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2004_2.pdf.
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Diacon, S., O'Brien, C. and Blake, A., 2004. The Economic Value of Non-Life Insurance. Association of British Insurers.
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Blake, A., 2004. UK Tourism Satellite Account -First Steps Project English Regions. Department for Culture, Media and Sport. Available from: http://www.culture.gov.uk/images/research/tsafirststepprojectreportpt1.pdf.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T., Sugiyarto, G., Campos Soria, J.A. and Gooroochurn, N., 2004. Productivity in UK Tourism. Department for Culture, Media and Sport.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. The Economic Impact of Tourism in Malta, Modelling. Malta Tourism Authority.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. The Development of the 2001 Input-Output Table and Social Accounting Matrix for Malta. Malta Tourism Authority.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. The Economic Impact of Tourism in Malta: Input-Output Modelling. Malta Tourism Authority.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. The Economic Impact of Tourism in Malta: Computable General Equilibrium Analysis. Malta Tourism Authority.
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Ramsden, S., Gibbons, J. and Blake, A., 2003. Mitigation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Agriculture: Socio-Economic Costs and Impacts. DEFRA.
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Sinclair, M.T., Blake, A., Durbarry, R. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. Tourism Indicators, Forecasting and Scenario Models. VisitScotland.
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Sinclair, M.T., Durbarry, R., Blake, A. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. Price Sensitivity of Tourism and its Impact on the Maltese Economy. Maltese Tourism Authority.
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Blake, A. and Sinclair, M.T., 2002. Tourism Crisis Management: Responding to September 11. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2002_7.PDF.
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Sugiyarto, G., Blake, A. and Sinclair, M.T., 2002. Economic Impact of Tourism and Globalisation in Indonesia. University of Nottingham: Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2002_2.pdf.
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Blake, A., Durbarry, R., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2001. Modelling Tourism and Travel Using Tourism Satellite Accounts and Tourism Policy and Forecasting Models. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2001_4.PDF.
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Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2001. The Economy-Wide Effects of Foot-and-Mouth in the UK Economy. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2001_3.PDF.
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Kweka, J., Morrissey, O. and Blake, A., 2001. Is Tourism a Key Sector in Tanzania?: Input-Output Analysis of Income, Output, Employment and Tax Revenue. Tourism and Travel Research Institute. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2001_1.pdf.
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Blake, A., McKay, A. and Morrissey, O., 2001. The Impact on Uganda of Agricultural Trade Liberalisation. Centre for Research in Economic Development and International Trade, University of Nottingham. Available from: http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/economics/credit/research/papers/cp.01.07.pdf.
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PhD Students

Rami Mhanna, 2016. Planning for Mega Sport Events: Leveraging Impacts and Legacies
Sarah Pyke, 2017. A Systems Theory Approach to the Well-being Effects of Tourism in the Uniteg Kingdom.
Stephen Calver. The influence of mass media on countryside leisure visit behaviour compared to the influence of childhood socialization: A structural model of relationships.
Babul Thomas Gomes. The Tourism Value Chain and the Prospects of Pro Poor Tourism
Xi Wu. Improving the Forecasting Performance and The Impact of Climate Change on Tourism Demand

Profile of Teaching UG

the Economics of Tourism

Invited Lectures

Evaluation of the IDB's Tourism Sector Framework, Washington D.C., 24 Jan 2017 more

Workshop to evaluate the Inter-American Development Bank's current Tourism Sector Framework Document.

Grants

Grants

Pier Review (Coastal Revival Fund, 04 Mar 2019). Completed
The value of outdoor events (Events Industry Forum, 11 Jun 2018). In Progress
Wider Economy Impact Assessment (Airports Commission, 14 Jul 2014). Awarded
Regional CGE Model of the UK (HM Revenue and Customs, 14 Nov 2012). Completed
The Impact of the Live Music Bill on Live Music in the UK (UK Music, 03 Mar 2012). Completed
VAT and Tourism (Tourism Respect, 01 Nov 2011). Completed
Music and Tourism (UK Music, 03 Mar 2010). Completed
A Bespoke CGE Model to Evaluate the Effects of Alternative Global Carbon Deals (Department for Energy and Climate Change, 01 Jun 2009). Completed
The Economic Impact of Wildlife Tourism in Scotland (Scottish Government, 01 Apr 2009). Completed

Qualifications

PhD in Economics (University of Nottingham, 1998)
MA in Economics (University of Nottingham, 1994)
BA (Hons) in Economics (University of Nottingham, 1993)

Honours

the Thea Sinclair Memorial Award for Best Paper (Tourism Economics, 2009)

Memberships

Royal Economics Society, Member (2016-), http://www.res.org.uk/
International Association for Tourism Economics, Council Memberships,

Networks

International Association for Tourism Economics

Academia.edu, http://bournemouth.academia.edu/AdamBlake
Twitter, @adam_blake

Website Links

http://www.tourism-economics.net/

External Media and Press

Booked it, packed it, Brexit: how leaving the EU could affect tourism, Bournemouth Echo, 10 Jun 2016. http://www.bournemouthecho.co.uk/news/14548921.Booked_it__packed_it__Brexit__how_leaving_the_EU_could_affect_tourism/

Staff Profile Pages