Adam Blake

Professor Adam Blake

  • Professor Of Economics and Econometrics
  • Dorset House D206, Talbot Campus, Fern Barrow, Poole, BH12 5BB
UN SDGs:
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Biography

Adam Blake is a Professor of Economics in the Bournemouth University Business School, and Head of the International Centre for Tourism and Hospitality Research. He is a specialist in computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling and has used this modelling technique to examine the economic interrelationships between tourism and other sectors of the economies of the UK, USA, Scotland, the Canary Islands, Malta, Cyprus, Mauritius and Brazil. His research has provided both theoretical advances and research based evidence for government organisations.

With articles in journals such as Annals of Tourism Research, Tourism Management and Tourism Economics, Adam is a well known researcher in the field of tourism economics. He is also a former President of the International Association for Tourism Economics. His research articles have addressed issues such as the economic effects of tourism crises (Foot and Mouth disease in the UK in 2001; September 11th in the US) and analysis of public policy measures in response to such crises; the economic impact of tourism taxation; and the economic impact of tourism in developing countries...

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Research

Adam Blake is a Professor of Economics in the Bournemouth University Business School. He is a specialist in modelling the economic impact of tourism and of tourism policies, with special interests in the economic impact of tourism on poverty. He has completed research of this nature for government agencies in the UK, Scotland, Ireland, Spain, Malta, Cyprus, Mauritius and Brazil. His research has provided both theoretical advances and research based evidence for government organisations.

As a former President (and currently, advisory board member) of the International Association for Tourism Economics. Adam has an established international record of thought leadership in tourism economics. More broadly in tourism and hospitality, Adam is the Head of the International Centre for Tourism and Hospitality Research.

Adam has introduced innovations in research methodologies (Wu and Blake 2022; Liu et al. 2021; Lie et al. 2018; Blake, Pratt and Swann 2013; Blake 2009) and also published research that has had real impact in the wider world. His research into the impact of foot and mouth disease (Blake, Sinclair and Sugiyarto 2003) was instrumental in demonstrating the importance of the tourism economy in the UK and of the tourism industry having a common voice through the Tourism Alliance. Research on tourism crisis management (Blake and Sinclair 2003), tourism productivity (Blake, Sinclair and Campos Soria 2006) and tourism and poverty (Blake, Arbache, Sinclair and Teles) has been instrumental as early publications in recently expanding literatures...

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Favourites

  • Wu, X. and Blake, A., 2023. Does the combination of models with different explanatory variables improve tourism demand forecasting performance? Tourism Economics, 29 (8), 2032-2056.
  • Liu, A., Vici, L., Ramos, V., Giannoni, S. and Blake, A., 2021. Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team. Annals of Tourism Research, 88.
  • Liu, A., Song, H. and Blake, A., 2018. Modelling productivity shocks and economic growth using the Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach. International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management, 30 (11), 3229-3249.
  • Blake, A., Pratt, S. and Swann, P., 2013. Dynamic general equilibrium model with uncertainty: Uncertainty regarding the future path of the economy. Economic Modelling, 32, 429-439.
  • Cortés-Jiménez, I. and Blake, A., 2011. Tourism demand modeling by purpose of visit and nationality. Journal of Travel Research, 50 (4), 408-416.
  • Blake, A., 2009. The Dynamics of Tourism’s Economic Impact. Tourism Economics, 15, 615-628.
  • Blake, A., Arbache, J.S., Sinclair, M.T. and Teles, V., 2008. Tourism and Poverty Relief. Annals of Tourism Research, 35, 107-126.

Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals

In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person's work contributes towards the following SDGs:

No poverty

"End poverty in all its forms everywhere"

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Decent work and economic growth

"Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all"

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Reduced inequalities

"Reduce inequality within and among countries"

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Responsible consumption and production

"Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns"

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Journal Articles

  • Wu, X. and Blake, A., 2023. Does the combination of models with different explanatory variables improve tourism demand forecasting performance? Tourism Economics, 29 (8), 2032-2056.
  • Wu, X. and Blake, A., 2023. The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China. SAGE Open, 13 (1).
  • Liu, A., Vici, L., Ramos, V., Giannoni, S. and Blake, A., 2021. Visitor arrivals forecasts amid COVID-19: A perspective from the Europe team. Annals of Tourism Research, 88.
  • Blake, A. and Gomes, T., 2020. Tourism As A Driver for Promoting Gender Equality and Participation of Women in the Labour Market: A Case Study of The Domestic Tourism Industry in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Issues, 2 (2).
  • Mhanna, R., Blake, A. and Jones, I., 2019. Spreading tourists around host countries of mega sport events: A strategy to overcome overtourism in host cities. Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes, 11 (5), 611-626.
  • Liu, A., Song, H. and Blake, A., 2018. Modelling productivity shocks and economic growth using the Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach. International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management, 30 (11), 3229-3249.
  • Mhanna, R., Blake, A. and Jones, I., 2017. Challenges facing immediate tourism leveraging: evidence from the London 2012 Olympic Games. Managing Sport and Leisure, 22 (2), 147-165.
  • Pyke, S., Hartwell, H., Blake, A. and Hemingway, A., 2016. Exploring well-being as a tourism product resource. Tourism Management, 55, 94-105.
  • Li, S.N., Blake, A. and Thomas, R., 2013. Modelling the economic impact of sports events: The case of the Beijing Olympics. Economic Modelling, 30 (1), 235-244.
  • Blake, A., Pratt, S. and Swann, P., 2013. Dynamic general equilibrium model with uncertainty: Uncertainty regarding the future path of the economy. Economic Modelling, 32, 429-439.
  • Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2013. Quantifying Foreign Direct Investment Productivity Spillovers in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Model. Asian Economic Journal, 27 (4), 369-389.
  • Deng, Z., Falvey, R. and Blake, A., 2012. Trading market access for technology? Tax incentives, foreign direct investment and productivity spillovers in China. Journal of Policy Modeling, 34 (5), 675-690.
  • Blake, A., Sahli, M. and Seetaram, N., 2012. Special issue: Developments in the field of tourism economics Introduction. TOURISM ECONOMICS, 18 (6), 1155-1159.
  • Li, S., Blake, A. and Cooper, C., 2011. Modelling the economic impact of international tourism on the Chinese economy: A CGE analysis of the Beijing 2008 Olympics. Tourism Economics, 17 (2), 279-303.
  • Cortés-Jiménez, I. and Blake, A., 2011. Tourism demand modeling by purpose of visit and nationality. Journal of Travel Research, 50 (4), 408-416.
  • Li, S., Blake, A. and Cooper, C., 2010. China's Tourism in a Global Financial Crisis: a Computable General Equilibrium Approach. Current Issues in Tourism, 13, 435-453.
  • Li, S. and Blake, A., 2010. Chinese Tourism Policy and the Economic Impact of International Tourism on the Chinese Economy: a computable general equilibrium scenario analysis of the Beijing 2008 Olympic Games. Tourism Economics.
  • Blake, A. and Cortés-Jiménez, I., 2010. Special focus the economics of tourism - New directions. Tourism Economics, 16 (1), 5-9.
  • Blake, A. and Cortes-Jimenez, I., 2010. Special Focus The economics of tourism - new directions Introduction. TOURISM ECONOMICS, 16 (1), 5-9.
  • Pratt, S. and Blake, A., 2009. The Economic Impact of Hawaii’s Cruise Industry. Tourism Analysis, 12, 337-351.
  • Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2009. How does the Productivity of Foreign Direct Investment spill over to Local Firms in Chinese Manufacturing? Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 7, 183-197.
  • Blake, A., 2009. The Dynamics of Tourism’s Economic Impact. Tourism Economics, 15, 615-628.
  • Pratt, S., McCabe, S., Cortes-Jimenez, I. and Blake, A., 2009. Measuring the Effectiveness of Destination Marketing Campaigns: comparative analysis of conversion studies. Journal of Travel Research.
  • Li, S. and Blake, A., 2009. Estimating Olympic Related Investment and Expenditure. International Journal of Tourism Research, 11, 337-356.
  • Blake, A., 2008. Tourism and income distribution in East Africa. International Journal of Tourism Research, 10 (6), 511-524.
  • Blake, A., Arbache, J.S., Sinclair, M.T. and Teles, V., 2008. Tourism and Poverty Relief. Annals of Tourism Research, 35, 107-126.
  • Blake, A., 2008. Economic modelling of tourism: Introduction. Tourism Economics, 14 (4), 669-671.
  • Yeoman, I., Lennon, J., Blake, A., Galt, M., Greenwood, C. and McMahon-Beattie, U., 2007. Oil depletion: What does this mean for Scottish tourism? Tourism Management, 28, 1354-1365.
  • Gibbons, J.M., Ramsden, S.J. and Blake, A., 2006. Modelling uncertainty in greenhouse gas emissions from UK agriculture at the farm level. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 112 (4), 347-355.
  • Blake, A., Durbarry, R., Eugenio-Martin, J.L., Gooroochurn, N., Hay, B., Lennon, J., Sinclair, M.T., Sugiyarto, G. and Yeoman, I., 2006. Integrating Forecasting and CGE models: The Case of Tourism in Scotland. Tourism Management, 27, 292-305.
  • Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Campos Soria, J.A., 2006. Tourism Productivity Evidence from the United Kingdom. Annals of Tourism Research, 33, 1099-1120.
  • Morgan, C.W., Blake, A. and Poyago-Theotoky, J.A., 2004. The Management of Technological Innovation: Lessons from Case Studies in the UK Food and Drink Industry. International Journal of Biotechnology, 5, 334-353.
  • Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. Quantifying the Impact of Foot and Mouth Disease on Tourism and the UK Economy. Tourism Economics, 9, 449-465.
  • Kweka, J., Morrissey, O. and Blake, A., 2003. The Economic Potential of Tourism in Tanzania. Journal of International Development, 15, 335-351.
  • Sugiyarto, G., Blake, A. and Sinclair, M.T., 2003. Tourism and Globalization Economic Impact in Indonesia. Annals of Tourism Research, 30, 683-701.
  • Blake, A. and Sinclair, M.T., 2003. Tourism Crisis Management: US Response to September 11. Annals of Tourism Research, 30, 813-832.
  • Blake, A., McKay, A. and Morrissey, O., 2002. The Impact on Uganda of Agricultural Trade Liberalisation. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 53, 365-381.
  • Blake, A., Rayner, A.J. and Reed, G.V., 1999. The Impact of the Uruguay Round Reforms on the EU Agriculture and Food-Processing Sectors. Journal of Agricultural Economics.
  • Blake, A.T., Rayner, A.J. and Reed, G.V., 1999. A computable general equilibrium analysis of agricultural liberalisation: The Uruguay Round and Common Agricultural Policy reform. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 50 (3), 400-424.

Books

  • Conference Abstracts: Third International Association for Tourism Economics Conference, Bournemouth University School of Tourism, UK 4-7 July 2011. Poole, England: Bournemouth University.

Chapters

  • Blake, A., 2022. Economic Impact. Encyclopedia of Tourism Management and Marketing: Volumes 1-4. 19-21.
  • Blake, A., Jones, I. and Mhanna, R., 2018. Sponsor Right Protection at Mega-Events: Examples from the London 2012 Olympic Games. In: Seraphin, H. and Korstanje, M., eds. International Event Management: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Practice. Nova.
  • Mhanna, R., Blake, A. and Jones, I., 2018. Sponsor Right Protection at Mega Events - Examples from the London 2012 Olympic Games. In: Seraphin, H. and Korstanje, M., eds. International Event Management Bridging the Gap Between Theory and Practice. Nova Science, 65-80.
  • Deng, Z., Blake, A. and Falvey, R., 2016. A computable general equilibrium model of foreign direct investment productivity spillovers in China. The Future of Asian Trade and Growth: Economic Development with the Emergence of China. 91-112.
  • Blake, A., Deng, Z. and Falvey, R., 2010. How does the productivity of foreign direct investment spill over to local firms in Chinese manufacturing? In: Liu, X. and Zhang, W., eds. China’s Three Decades of Economic Reforms. Abingdon, England: Routledge, 230-243.
  • Deng, Z., Blake, A. and Falvey, R., 2009. A computable general equilibrium model of foreign direct investment productivity spillovers in China. The Future of Asian Trade and Growth: Economic Development with the Emergence of China. 91-112.
  • Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Gillham, J., 2006. CGE Tourism Analysis and Policy Modelling. In: Dwyer, L. and Forsyth, P., eds. International Handbook on the Economics of Tourism. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Conferences

  • Blake, A., 2017. Tourism and Poverty Alleviation: Tools and Policies. In: International Association for Tourism Economics 20-23 June 2017 Rimini, Italy.
  • Blake, A., 2017. Tourism and Poverty Alleviation: Tools and Policies. In: The Visitor Economy: strategies and innovations 4-6 September 2017 Bournemouth University.
  • Blake, A., Sahli, M. and Seetaram, N., 2012. Special issue: Developments in the field of tourism economics. Tourism Economics, 18 (6), 1155-1159.
  • Curtin, S.C. and Blake, A., 2010. Setting the scene: wildlife tourist typologies, behaviour and economic impact. In: Wildlife tourism in Britain: future directions, developments and management implications 12 May 2010 Bournemouth University, England.
  • Blake, A., Sinclair, M.T. and Sugiyarto, G., 2003. Tourism and EU Accession in Malta and Cyprus. In: Tourism Modelling and Competitiveness: implications for policy and strategic planning Paphos, Cyprus. Tourism and Travel Research Institute.

Reports

PhD Students

  • Rami Mhanna, 2016. Planning for Mega Sport Events: Leveraging Impacts and Legacies
  • Sarah Pyke, 2017. A Systems Theory Approach to the Well-being Effects of Tourism in the Uniteg Kingdom.
  • Babul Thomas Gomes. The Tourism Value Chain and the Prospects of Pro Poor Tourism
  • Stephen Calver. The influence of mass media on countryside leisure visit behaviour compared to the influence of childhood socialization: A structural model of relationships.
  • Xi Wu. Improving the Forecasting Performance and The Impact of Climate Change on Tourism Demand

Profile of Teaching PG

  • Tourism Planning and Development
  • Emerging Market Economies

Profile of Teaching UG

  • The Visitor Economy
  • Economics for Accounting and Finance
  • The Global Business Environment
  • The Business and Economics of Tourism
  • Industry, Regions and the Environment

Invited Lectures

  • Tourism in the UK, London, 15 Jan 2022 more
  • Tourism in the UK, London, 15 Jan 2021 more
  • Great British Tourism, London, 15 Oct 2017 more
  • Evaluation of the IDB's Tourism Sector Framework, Washington D.C., 24 Jan 2017 more

Grants

  • Cambridge Model II (Tourism South East, 08 Apr 2022). In Progress
  • Pier Review (Coastal Revival Fund, 04 Mar 2019). Completed
  • The value of outdoor events (Events Industry Forum, 11 Jun 2018). Completed
  • Impact of an EU exit on the DCMS sectors and regulatory areas (Department of Digital, Culture, Media and Sport, 01 Jan 2018). Completed
  • Dorset LEP Growth Deals Pipeline Project Prioritisation. (Dorset Local Enterprise Partnership, 01 Jan 2018). Completed
  • The Fáilte Ireland Economic Impact Model (Fáilte Ireland, 01 Jul 2015). Completed
  • Local Growth - LEP data collection and project assessment process management (Dorset Local Enterprise Partnership, 01 Jan 2015). Completed
  • Analysis of the Likely Effects of Adopting the EU Common External Tariff and VAT (Government of Gibra, 01 Jan 2015). Completed
  • Wider Economy Impact Assessment (Airports Commission, 14 Jul 2014). Completed
  • Dorset Local Enterprise Partnership Strategic Economic Plan (Dorset Local Enterprise Partnership, 01 Jan 2014). Completed
  • Regional CGE Model of the UK (HM Revenue and Customs, 14 Nov 2012). Completed
  • The Impact of the Live Music Bill on Live Music in the UK (UK Music, 03 Mar 2012). Completed
  • VAT and Tourism (Tourism Respect, 01 Nov 2011). Completed
  • Music and Tourism (UK Music, 03 Mar 2010). Completed
  • A Bespoke CGE Model to Evaluate the Effects of Alternative Global Carbon Deals (Department for Energy and Climate Change, 01 Jun 2009). Completed
  • The Economic Impact of Wildlife Tourism in Scotland (Scottish Government, 01 Apr 2009). Completed

External Responsibilities

  • Office for National Statistics, Panel Member, Travel and Tourism User Review Forum (2021-)

Public Engagement & Outreach Activities

  • House of Commons Northern Ireland select committee. (16 Nov 2015)
  • House of Commons DCMS select committee. (13 Jan 2015)

Qualifications

  • PhD in Economics (University of Nottingham, 1998)
  • MA in Economics (University of Nottingham, 1994)
  • BA (Hons) in Economics (University of Nottingham, 1993)

Honours

  • the Thea Sinclair Memorial Award for Best Paper (Tourism Economics, 2009)

Memberships

  • Royal Economics Society, Member (2016-), http://www.res.org.uk/
  • International Association for Tourism Economics, Council Memberships,

Networks

  • International Association for Tourism Economics

Social Media Links

External Media and Press